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World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Sep 3, 2021 at 1.05am UK
BMO Field
HN

Canada
1 - 1
Honduras

Larin (66' pen.)
Vitoria (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lopez (40' pen.)
Rivas (45+2'), Pineda (80')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 55.04%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 20.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
CanadaDrawHonduras
55.04%24.63%20.33%
Both teams to score 47.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.23%53.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.75%75.25%
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.53%19.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.68%51.32%
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.83%41.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.29%77.71%
Score Analysis
    Canada 55.03%
    Honduras 20.33%
    Draw 24.62%
CanadaDrawHonduras
1-0 @ 13.11%
2-0 @ 10.73%
2-1 @ 9.52%
3-0 @ 5.85%
3-1 @ 5.2%
4-0 @ 2.4%
3-2 @ 2.31%
4-1 @ 2.13%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 55.03%
1-1 @ 11.63%
0-0 @ 8.02%
2-2 @ 4.23%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 24.62%
0-1 @ 7.11%
1-2 @ 5.16%
0-2 @ 3.16%
1-3 @ 1.53%
2-3 @ 1.25%
0-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 20.33%

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