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World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Oct 12, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Azadi Stadium, Tehran
SK

Iran
1 - 1
South Korea

Jahanbakhsh (76')
Noorafkan (62'), Azmoun (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Heung-min (48')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 56.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for South Korea had a probability of 21.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a South Korea win it was 1-2 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
IranDrawSouth Korea
56.19%22.45%21.36%
Both teams to score 55.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.42%43.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.03%65.97%
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.66%15.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.91%44.09%
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.67%34.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.97%71.03%
Score Analysis
    Iran 56.19%
    South Korea 21.36%
    Draw 22.44%
IranDrawSouth Korea
2-1 @ 9.89%
1-0 @ 9.87%
2-0 @ 9.25%
3-1 @ 6.18%
3-0 @ 5.78%
3-2 @ 3.31%
4-1 @ 2.9%
4-0 @ 2.71%
4-2 @ 1.55%
5-1 @ 1.09%
5-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 56.19%
1-1 @ 10.55%
2-2 @ 5.29%
0-0 @ 5.26%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.44%
1-2 @ 5.64%
0-1 @ 5.63%
0-2 @ 3.01%
1-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.89%
0-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 21.36%

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