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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Sep 7, 2021 at 2pm UK
 
MN

Malawi
1 - 0
Mozambique

Mbulu (10')
Idana (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 46.68%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 26.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malawi in this match.

Result
MalawiDrawMozambique
46.68%26.72%26.59%
Both teams to score 48.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.77%56.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.72%77.28%
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.92%24.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.64%58.36%
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.37%36.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.58%73.42%
Score Analysis
    Malawi 46.68%
    Mozambique 26.59%
    Draw 26.72%
MalawiDrawMozambique
1-0 @ 12.55%
2-1 @ 8.98%
2-0 @ 8.94%
3-1 @ 4.26%
3-0 @ 4.24%
3-2 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 46.68%
1-1 @ 12.61%
0-0 @ 8.82%
2-2 @ 4.51%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 8.86%
1-2 @ 6.33%
0-2 @ 4.45%
1-3 @ 2.12%
2-3 @ 1.51%
0-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 26.59%

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