SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 46.68%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 26.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malawi in this match.
| Result | ||
| Malawi | Draw | Mozambique |
| 46.68% | 26.72% | 26.59% |
| Both teams to score 48.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.77% | 56.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.72% | 77.28% |
| Malawi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.92% | 24.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.64% | 58.36% |
| Mozambique Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.37% | 36.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.58% | 73.42% |
| Score Analysis |
| Malawi | Draw | Mozambique |
| 1-0 @ 12.55% 2-1 @ 8.98% 2-0 @ 8.94% 3-1 @ 4.26% 3-0 @ 4.24% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.54% Total : 46.68% | 1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 8.82% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 8.86% 1-2 @ 6.33% 0-2 @ 4.45% 1-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.51% 0-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 1.83% Total : 26.59% |
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