SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kuwait win with a probability of 61.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Afghanistan had a probability of 16.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kuwait win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for an Afghanistan win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kuwait in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kuwait | Draw | Afghanistan |
61.24% ( 0.56) | 22.18% ( -0.18) | 16.57% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 48.05% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.57% ( 0.09) | 49.43% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.53% ( 0.08) | 71.47% ( -0.08) |
| Kuwait Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.34% ( 0.22) | 15.66% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.3% ( 0.4) | 44.7% ( -0.4) |
| Afghanistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.97% ( -0.43) | 43.03% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.68% ( -0.37) | 79.32% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kuwait | Draw | Afghanistan |
| 1-0 @ 12.49% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.1% Total : 61.24% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.79% Total : 22.18% | 0-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.64% Total : 16.57% |
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