Kuwait have had issues finding the back of the net recently, and we expect the trend to continue here. We can also see Qatar coming away with all three points at the sound of the final whistle.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Kuwait had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Kuwait win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Qatar would win this match.
0.01) 
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