SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 52.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 22.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Latvia win it was 1-0 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Latvia | Draw | Turkey |
| 22.25% | 25.08% | 52.67% |
| Both teams to score 48.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.55% | 53.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.02% | 74.98% |
| Latvia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.98% | 39.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.26% | 75.74% |
| Turkey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.71% | 20.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.35% | 52.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Latvia | Draw | Turkey |
| 1-0 @ 7.45% 2-1 @ 5.59% 2-0 @ 3.51% 3-1 @ 1.75% 3-2 @ 1.4% 3-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.45% Total : 22.25% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 7.92% 2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 12.62% 0-2 @ 10.07% 1-2 @ 9.48% 0-3 @ 5.36% 1-3 @ 5.04% 2-3 @ 2.37% 0-4 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 2.01% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.63% Total : 52.66% |
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