Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 73.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 6.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 21.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (18.99%) and 3-0 (11.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.86%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.