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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Oct 11, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
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Netherlands
6 - 0
Gibraltar

van Dijk (9'), Depay (21', 45+3' pen.), Dumfries (48'), Danjuma (75'), Malen (86')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Torilla (18')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 73.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 6.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 21.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (18.99%) and 3-0 (11.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.86%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
NetherlandsDrawGibraltar
73.3%20.31%6.38%
Both teams to score 24.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.89%64.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.74%83.26%
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.3%16.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.41%46.59%
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
28.97%71.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
4.67%95.32%
Score Analysis
    Netherlands 73.28%
    Gibraltar 6.38%
    Draw 20.31%
NetherlandsDrawGibraltar
1-0 @ 21.22%
2-0 @ 18.99%
3-0 @ 11.33%
2-1 @ 6.5%
4-0 @ 5.07%
3-1 @ 3.88%
5-0 @ 1.82%
4-1 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 73.28%
0-0 @ 11.86%
1-1 @ 7.26%
2-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 20.31%
0-1 @ 4.06%
1-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 6.38%

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