SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Croatia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Morocco | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Belgium | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Canada | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Croatia win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morocco | Draw | Croatia |
41.55% ( -0.17) | 28.44% ( -0.05) | 30.01% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 45.32% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.25% ( 0.22) | 60.75% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.2% ( 0.17) | 80.81% ( -0.17) |
| Morocco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.2% ( 0.01) | 28.8% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.35% ( 0.02) | 64.65% ( -0.02) |
| Croatia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.66% ( 0.29) | 36.34% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.88% ( 0.29) | 73.13% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Morocco | Draw | Croatia |
| 1-0 @ 13.02% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.41% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.61% Total : 41.55% | 1-1 @ 13.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.42% | 0-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.91% Total : 30% |
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