SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Paraguay had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Paraguay win was 1-0 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paraguay | Draw | Morocco |
34.82% ( -0.06) | 27.54% ( 0.03) | 37.64% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.14% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.44% ( -0.12) | 56.55% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.46% ( -0.1) | 77.54% ( 0.09) |
| Paraguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.23% ( -0.1) | 30.77% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.97% ( -0.11) | 67.03% ( 0.11) |
| Morocco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.98% ( -0.04) | 29.02% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.08% ( -0.05) | 64.92% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paraguay | Draw | Morocco |
| 1-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.2% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.1% Total : 34.81% | 1-1 @ 13.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.54% | 0-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 37.64% |
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