SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Thailand | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Oman | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Kyrgyzstan | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bahrain | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | South Korea | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Jordan | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Malaysia | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 56.17%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Oman had a probability of 20.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Oman win it was 1-0 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oman | Draw | South Korea |
20.85% ( -3.25) | 22.99% ( -0.76) | 56.17% ( 4.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.07% ( -1.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.43% ( -0.31) | 46.57% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.15% ( -0.29) | 68.85% ( 0.29) |
| Oman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.48% ( -3.19) | 36.52% ( 3.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.69% ( -3.36) | 73.31% ( 3.36) |
| South Korea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.61% ( 1.34) | 16.39% ( -1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.96% ( 2.37) | 46.04% ( -2.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oman | Draw | South Korea |
| 1-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.68)2-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.53)3-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.42)3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.29)3-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.29)Other @ 1.76% Total : 20.85% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.37)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.98% | 0-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.6) 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 9.79% ( 0.95)1-3 @ 5.94% ( 0.34)0-3 @ 5.9% ( 0.8)2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.69% ( 0.26)0-4 @ 2.67% ( 0.46)2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.13)0-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.2)Other @ 2.21% Total : 56.16% |
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