SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iraq | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Indonesia | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Vietnam | 3 | -4 | 0 |
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Thailand | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Oman | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Kyrgyzstan | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Oman had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Oman win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Iraq in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Iraq.
| Result | ||
| Iraq | Draw | Oman |
37.9% ( 0.06) | 27.65% ( 0.01) | 34.45% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 48.76% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.99% ( -0.06) | 57.01% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.09% ( -0.05) | 77.9% ( 0.05) |
| Iraq Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.91% ( 0.01) | 29.09% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.99% ( 0.01) | 65.01% ( -0.02) |
| Oman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.76% ( -0.09) | 31.23% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.42% ( -0.1) | 67.58% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Iraq | Draw | Oman |
| 1-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.32% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 37.89% | 1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.65% | 0-1 @ 10.57% 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 34.45% |
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