SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bahrain | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | South Korea | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Jordan | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Malaysia | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 66.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for China had a probability of 13.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 2-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a China win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| South Korea | Draw | China |
66.96% ( -0.17) | 19.6% ( -0) | 13.44% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 48.67% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.4% ( 0.41) | 44.6% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.03% ( 0.39) | 66.97% ( -0.39) |
| South Korea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.62% ( 0.07) | 12.38% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.75% ( 0.15) | 38.25% ( -0.15) |
| China Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.55% ( 0.52) | 44.45% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.51% ( 0.42) | 80.49% ( -0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| South Korea | Draw | China |
| 2-0 @ 12% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 11.49% ( -0.17)2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.18% Total : 66.94% | 1-1 @ 9.32% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.83% Total : 19.6% | 0-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.3% Total : 13.44% |
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