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World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round | 1st Leg
Jun 13, 2021 at 12.05am UK
Estadio Nacional Rod Carew
CN

Panama
2 - 1
Curacao

Quintero Medina (55'), Waterman Ruiz (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Janga (87')
Antonia (37'), Anita (40'), Gaari (65')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curacao win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Panama had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curacao win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Panama win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
PanamaDrawCuracao
35.97%25.26%38.77%
Both teams to score 56.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.11%46.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.86%69.14%
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.6%25.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.79%60.21%
Curacao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.12%23.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.92%58.08%
Score Analysis
    Panama 35.98%
    Curacao 38.77%
    Draw 25.25%
PanamaDrawCuracao
1-0 @ 8.31%
2-1 @ 8.16%
2-0 @ 5.7%
3-1 @ 3.73%
3-2 @ 2.67%
3-0 @ 2.6%
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 35.98%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 6.07%
2-2 @ 5.84%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 8.69%
1-2 @ 8.52%
0-2 @ 6.22%
1-3 @ 4.07%
0-3 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.79%
1-4 @ 1.46%
0-4 @ 1.06%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 38.77%

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