Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 67.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Congo had a probability of 10.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.29%) and 3-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.47%), while for a Congo win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.