Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 55.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 19.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Serbia would win this match.
Result | ||
Serbia | Draw | Azerbaijan |
55.24% | 25.41% | 19.35% |
Both teams to score 43.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.33% | 57.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.58% | 78.42% |
Serbia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.08% | 20.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.35% | 53.65% |
Azerbaijan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.47% | 44.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.45% | 80.55% |
Score Analysis |
Serbia | Draw | Azerbaijan |
1-0 @ 14.57% 2-0 @ 11.4% 2-1 @ 9.22% 3-0 @ 5.95% 3-1 @ 4.81% 4-0 @ 2.33% 3-2 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 1.88% Other @ 3.14% Total : 55.24% | 1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 9.32% 2-2 @ 3.73% Other @ 0.57% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 7.54% 1-2 @ 4.77% 0-2 @ 3.05% 1-3 @ 1.29% 2-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.7% Total : 19.35% |
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