Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 61.23%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 13.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.34%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.91%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Switzerland would win this match.
