Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Switzerland had a probability of 27.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.64%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Switzerland win was 2-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.