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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Sep 5, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
IN

Switzerland
0 - 0
Italy


Sow (6'), Aebischer (59'), Elvedi (68'), Frei (87')
FT

Chiellini (41')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Switzerland had a probability of 27.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.64%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Switzerland win was 2-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
SwitzerlandDrawItaly
27.98%22.75%49.27%
Both teams to score 62.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.63%38.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.34%60.65%
Switzerland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.81%26.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.73%61.27%
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.14%15.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.95%45.05%
Score Analysis
    Switzerland 27.98%
    Italy 49.27%
    Draw 22.74%
SwitzerlandDrawItaly
2-1 @ 6.86%
1-0 @ 5.56%
2-0 @ 3.73%
3-1 @ 3.07%
3-2 @ 2.82%
3-0 @ 1.67%
4-1 @ 1.03%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 27.98%
1-1 @ 10.24%
2-2 @ 6.32%
0-0 @ 4.15%
3-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.74%
1-2 @ 9.43%
0-1 @ 7.64%
0-2 @ 7.04%
1-3 @ 5.79%
0-3 @ 4.32%
2-3 @ 3.88%
1-4 @ 2.67%
0-4 @ 1.99%
2-4 @ 1.79%
1-5 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 49.27%

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