Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 44.17%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 27.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.87%) and 1-2 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 1-0 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.