SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Denmark | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Australia | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 36.9%. A win for Australia had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Australia win was 0-1 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tunisia | Draw | Australia |
36.9% ( -0.12) | 27.66% ( 0.07) | 35.43% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 48.82% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.02% ( -0.28) | 56.97% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.12% ( -0.22) | 77.88% ( 0.22) |
| Tunisia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.33% ( -0.21) | 29.67% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.28% ( -0.25) | 65.72% ( 0.25) |
| Australia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.41% ( -0.11) | 30.58% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.18% ( -0.13) | 66.81% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tunisia | Draw | Australia |
| 1-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.44% Total : 36.9% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.66% | 0-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.74% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 35.42% |
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