SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 68.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 10.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.21%) and 3-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brazil | Draw | Tunisia |
68.83% ( -0.95) | 20.68% ( -0.05) | 10.49% ( 1) |
| Both teams to score 36.94% ( 3.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.4% ( 2.44) | 55.59% ( -2.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.24% ( 1.95) | 76.76% ( -1.95) |
| Brazil Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.75% ( 0.51) | 15.25% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.07% ( 0.95) | 43.93% ( -0.95) |
| Tunisia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.59% ( 3.52) | 56.41% ( -3.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.29% ( 1.91) | 88.71% ( -1.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brazil | Draw | Tunisia |
| 1-0 @ 16.17% ( -1.28) 2-0 @ 15.21% ( -0.91)3-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.39)2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.45)3-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.38)4-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.22)5-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.26)5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.47% Total : 68.82% | 1-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.84)2-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.38)Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.68% | 0-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.36)0-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.17)Other @ 1.5% Total : 10.49% |
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