SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Jordan had a probability of 21.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Jordan win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Iraq | Draw | Jordan |
53.07% ( 9.44) | 25.17% ( -1.9) | 21.75% ( -7.55) |
| Both teams to score 47.71% ( -1.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.68% ( 1.85) | 54.31% ( -1.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.29% ( 1.52) | 75.7% ( -1.53) |
| Iraq Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.53% ( 5.08) | 20.46% ( -5.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.06% ( 7.48) | 52.93% ( -7.48) |
| Jordan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.99% ( -5.58) | 40.01% ( 5.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.34% ( -5.52) | 76.66% ( 5.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Iraq | Draw | Jordan |
| 1-0 @ 12.98% ( 0.98) 2-0 @ 10.3% ( 2.11)2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.71)3-0 @ 5.45% ( 1.72)3-1 @ 4.99% ( 1.02)3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.89)4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.63)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.19)Other @ 2.56% Total : 53.06% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.9) 0-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.61)2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.33)Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 7.5% ( -1.88) 1-2 @ 5.45% ( -1.37)0-2 @ 3.44% ( -1.56)1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.76)2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.34)0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.73)Other @ 1.33% Total : 21.75% |
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