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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
WN

Czech Republic
2 - 2
Wales

Pesek (38'), Ward (49' og.)
Barak (26'), Sadilek (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ramsey (36'), James (69')
Ramsey (1'), Ampadu (26'), Moore (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Wales had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Wales win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Czech RepublicDrawWales
45.14%24.78%30.08%
Both teams to score 56.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.53%46.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.25%68.75%
Czech Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.35%20.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.77%53.23%
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.14%28.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.28%64.72%
Score Analysis
    Czech Republic 45.14%
    Wales 30.08%
    Draw 24.78%
Czech RepublicDrawWales
1-0 @ 9.4%
2-1 @ 9.21%
2-0 @ 7.41%
3-1 @ 4.85%
3-0 @ 3.9%
3-2 @ 3.01%
4-1 @ 1.91%
4-0 @ 1.54%
4-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 45.14%
1-1 @ 11.68%
0-0 @ 5.96%
2-2 @ 5.73%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.78%
0-1 @ 7.41%
1-2 @ 7.26%
0-2 @ 4.6%
1-3 @ 3.01%
2-3 @ 2.37%
0-3 @ 1.91%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 30.08%

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