Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 50.49%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.

Result
Fortuna Dusseldorf	Draw	St Pauli
50.49% ( 0.22)	23.02% ( -0.01)	26.5% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 59.84% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.19% (

-0.1)

40.81% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.81% (

-0.1)

63.19% (

0.1)

Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.68% (

0.04)

16.32% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.1% (

0.08)

45.9% (

-0.08)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.5% (

-0.2)

28.5% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.73% (

-0.25)

64.27% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Fortuna Dusseldorf 50.49%

St Pauli 26.5%

Draw 23.01%

Fortuna Dusseldorf	Draw	St Pauli
2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.45% Total : 50.49%	1-1 @ 10.58% 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.01%	1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.52% Total : 26.5%