Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 50.49%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | St Pauli |
50.49% (![]() | 23.02% (![]() | 26.5% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.84% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.19% (![]() | 40.81% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.81% (![]() | 63.19% (![]() |
Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.68% (![]() | 16.32% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.1% (![]() | 45.9% (![]() |
St Pauli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.5% (![]() | 28.5% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.73% (![]() | 64.27% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | St Pauli |
2-1 @ 9.59% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.43% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.64% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.8% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.62% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.64% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.63% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.65% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 3.45% Total : 50.49% | 1-1 @ 10.58% 2-2 @ 6.02% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.65% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.52% ( ![]() Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.01% | 1-2 @ 6.64% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.84% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.66% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.53% ( ![]() Other @ 3.52% Total : 26.5% |
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