Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
