Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
