Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
