Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.53%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
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