Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 54.62%. A win for Wurzburger Kickers had a probability of 23.39% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Wurzburger Kickers win was 2-1 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
