Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 45.27%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
0.06) 
-0.03) 
