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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 12, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion

St Pauli
1 - 0
Kaiserslautern

Metcalfe (72')
Smith (26'), Saliakas (54'), Afolayan (86'), Matanovic (88'), Maurides (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Rapp (20'), Opoku (50'), Kraus (55'), Zolinski (69'), Durm (83'), Ritter (90+5')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Kaiserslautern.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Pauli 2-0 Hannover
Sunday, February 5 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Kaiserslautern 2-1 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, February 4 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 48.35%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 25.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Kaiserslautern win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Pauli in this match.

Result
St PauliDrawKaiserslautern
48.35% (1.446 1.45) 26.27% (-0.511 -0.51) 25.39% (-0.937 -0.94)
Both teams to score 48.45% (0.685 0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.68% (1.271 1.27)55.31% (-1.272 -1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.47% (1.031 1.03)76.53% (-1.033 -1.03)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (1.22 1.22)22.91% (-1.223 -1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.33% (1.767 1.77)56.67% (-1.768 -1.77)
Kaiserslautern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.84% (-0.108 -0.11)37.15% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.06% (-0.108 -0.11)73.94% (0.10600000000001 0.11)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 48.34%
    Kaiserslautern 25.39%
    Draw 26.26%
St PauliDrawKaiserslautern
1-0 @ 12.54% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-0 @ 9.24% (0.208 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.15% (0.18 0.18)
3-0 @ 4.54% (0.259 0.26)
3-1 @ 4.5% (0.244 0.24)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.114 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.151 0.15)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.145 0.15)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 48.34%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-0 @ 8.51% (-0.428 -0.43)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 8.43% (-0.45 -0.45)
1-2 @ 6.15% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-2 @ 4.17% (-0.235 -0.24)
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 25.39%

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Form Guide
Last Game: St Pauli 2-0 Hannover
Sunday, February 5 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Nuremberg 0-1 St Pauli
Sunday, January 29 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Karlsruher 4-4 St Pauli
Saturday, November 12 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 0-0 Holstein Kiel
Tuesday, November 8 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Dusseldorf 1-0 St Pauli
Saturday, November 5 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 1-1 SV Darmstadt 98
Saturday, October 29 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Kaiserslautern 2-1 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, February 4 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Hannover 1-3 Kaiserslautern
Saturday, January 28 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Dusseldorf 1-2 Kaiserslautern
Friday, November 11 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Kaiserslautern 2-0 Karlsruher
Tuesday, November 8 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Arminia Bielefeld 2-3 Kaiserslautern
Saturday, November 5 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Kaiserslautern 0-0 Nuremberg
Saturday, October 29 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga


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