Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for SV Sandhausen had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest SV Sandhausen win was 1-0 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nuremberg would win this match.
0.34) 
-0.38) 
