Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 50.31%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.