SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Emmen win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | Emmen |
42.07% ( 0.69) | 25.25% ( -0.03) | 32.68% ( -0.66) |
| Both teams to score 56.06% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.5% ( -0.04) | 47.5% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.29% ( -0.04) | 69.71% ( 0.04) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.5% ( 0.32) | 22.5% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.94% ( 0.47) | 56.06% ( -0.47) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.33% ( -0.43) | 27.67% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.78% ( -0.56) | 63.21% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | Emmen |
| 1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.26% Total : 42.07% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 8% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.89% Total : 32.68% |
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