Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
