Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 54.85%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 22.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 2-1 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Eindhoven would win this match.
