Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Emmen win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
