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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for SJK had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest SJK win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vaasan Palloseura would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SJK | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
34.2% ( 0.01) | 25.85% ( -0.01) | 39.94% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.44% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.22% ( 0.06) | 49.78% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.22% ( 0.06) | 71.78% ( -0.06) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.18% ( 0.04) | 27.82% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.58% ( 0.05) | 63.42% ( -0.04) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.43% ( 0.03) | 24.57% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.94% ( 0.05) | 59.06% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| SJK | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.59% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.39% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 34.2% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.62% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.73% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.15% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.81% Total : 39.94% |
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