SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | SJK |
35.55% ( -0.22) | 26.27% ( 0.05) | 38.17% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 53.25% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.6% ( -0.23) | 51.39% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.79% ( -0.2) | 73.21% ( 0.2) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.22% ( -0.24) | 27.78% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.64% ( -0.31) | 63.36% ( 0.31) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.73% ( -0.01) | 26.26% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.62% ( -0.01) | 61.38% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | SJK |
| 1-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.87% Total : 35.55% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.72% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.17% |
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