SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for KTP had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest KTP win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Haka | Draw | KTP |
40.73% ( -0.26) | 25.45% ( 0.11) | 33.82% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 55.72% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.91% ( -0.45) | 48.09% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.75% ( -0.41) | 70.25% ( 0.41) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.59% ( -0.33) | 23.41% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.59% ( -0.48) | 57.4% ( 0.48) |
| KTP Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.76% ( -0.12) | 27.24% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.33% ( -0.16) | 62.67% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haka | Draw | KTP |
| 1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.72% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.06% Total : 40.73% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.39% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 33.82% |
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