SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for KTP had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest KTP win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oulu would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oulu | Draw | KTP |
43.84% ( -0.22) | 25.3% ( 0.04) | 30.86% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 55.14% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.64% ( -0.08) | 48.36% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.5% ( -0.08) | 70.5% ( 0.08) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.97% ( -0.14) | 22.03% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.64% ( -0.21) | 55.36% ( 0.2) |
| KTP Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.73% ( 0.08) | 29.27% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.76% ( 0.09) | 65.24% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oulu | Draw | KTP |
| 1-0 @ 9.76% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 43.84% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 30.86% |
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