SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 50.15%. A win for KTP had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest KTP win was 1-0 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| KTP | Draw | Honka |
25.73% ( -1.67) | 24.12% ( 0.01) | 50.15% ( 1.66) |
| Both teams to score 55.35% ( -1.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.6% ( -1.32) | 46.4% ( 1.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.31% ( -1.26) | 68.68% ( 1.25) |
| KTP Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.95% ( -1.99) | 32.05% ( 1.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.48% ( -2.33) | 68.51% ( 2.32) |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.45% ( 0.14) | 18.55% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.2% ( 0.24) | 49.8% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| KTP | Draw | Honka |
| 1-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.32)2-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.27)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.22)3-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.64% Total : 25.73% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.25)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.11% | 0-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.59) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.54)1-3 @ 5.39% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 4.74% ( 0.32)2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 2.27% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 2% ( 0.14)2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.34% Total : 50.14% |
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