Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Haka had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Haka win was 0-1 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oulu would win this match.
