Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Oulu win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oulu | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
32.68% ( 0.16) | 26.21% ( 0.1) | 41.1% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 52.87% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.37% ( -0.38) | 51.62% ( 0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.58% ( -0.33) | 73.41% ( 0.33) |
Oulu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.3% ( -0.08) | 29.69% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.25% ( -0.1) | 65.74% ( 0.09) |
IFK Mariehamn Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.19% ( -0.31) | 24.8% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.62% ( -0.43) | 59.38% ( 0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Oulu | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
1-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 32.68% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.59% Total : 41.09% |
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