SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Oulu win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vaasan Palloseura in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Oulu |
49.47% ( -0.15) | 23.39% ( 0.02) | 27.14% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 59.1% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.97% ( 0.01) | 42.02% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.57% ( 0.01) | 64.43% ( -0.01) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.85% ( -0.05) | 17.14% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.62% ( -0.09) | 47.38% ( 0.09) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.33% ( 0.11) | 28.66% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.52% ( 0.13) | 64.48% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Oulu |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.51% 4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0)Other @ 4% Total : 49.47% | 1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.91% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.38% | 1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.5% Total : 27.14% |
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