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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
42.63% ( -0.07) | 24.09% ( 0.03) | 33.28% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 60.34% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.99% ( -0.11) | 42.01% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.58% ( -0.12) | 64.42% ( 0.12) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.08% ( -0.08) | 19.92% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.95% ( -0.13) | 52.05% ( 0.13) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.34% ( -0.03) | 24.66% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.82% ( -0.05) | 59.18% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.39% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.05% Total : 42.63% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.08% | 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.63% 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.28% |
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