SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | KuPS | 21 | 19 | 44 |
| 3 | Honka | 21 | 25 | 41 |
| 4 | Haka | 21 | -3 | 34 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | HJK Helsinki | 21 | 15 | 46 |
| 2 | KuPS | 21 | 19 | 44 |
| 3 | Honka | 21 | 25 | 41 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Honka | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
47.78% ( -0.02) | 24.33% ( 0.01) | 27.88% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.5% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.26% ( -0.05) | 45.74% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.94% ( -0.05) | 68.06% ( 0.05) |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.76% ( -0.03) | 19.24% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.05% ( -0.05) | 50.94% ( 0.05) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.95% ( -0.02) | 30.04% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.82% ( -0.03) | 66.17% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Honka | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.85% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.31% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.78% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 3.14% Total : 47.78% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.32% | 0-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.18% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0)Other @ 3.16% Total : 27.88% |
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