Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for Honka had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Honka win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for HJK Helsinki in this match.
