SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Inter Turku had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Inter Turku win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Honka | Draw | Inter Turku |
41.79% ( 0.22) | 26.05% ( -0.06) | 32.16% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 53.22% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.9% ( 0.23) | 51.1% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.05% ( 0.2) | 72.95% ( -0.2) |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.79% ( 0.21) | 24.21% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.45% ( 0.3) | 58.55% ( -0.3) |
| Inter Turku Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.22% ( 0.02) | 29.78% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.14% ( 0.02) | 65.86% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Honka | Draw | Inter Turku |
| 1-0 @ 10.22% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.74% Total : 41.79% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 32.16% |
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