SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Inter Turku had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Inter Turku win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Inter Turku |
40.69% ( -0.33) | 26.64% ( -0.04) | 32.68% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 51.52% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.64% ( 0.26) | 53.36% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.1% ( 0.22) | 74.9% ( -0.22) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.2% ( -0.06) | 25.8% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.24% ( -0.08) | 60.76% ( 0.08) |
| Inter Turku Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.44% ( 0.38) | 30.57% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.21% ( 0.45) | 66.8% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Inter Turku |
| 1-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.33% Total : 40.68% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.64% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.12% Total : 32.68% |
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