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Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 4
Oct 8, 2023 at 2pm UK
Savon Sanomat Areena

KuPS
3 - 1
Honka

Koski (14' og.), Tuominen (21'), Vidjeskog (48' pen.)
Vidjeskog (24'), Bispo (37')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Eremenko (42')
Jansen (29'), Wurtz (35'), Hernandez (64')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between KuPS and Honka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: KuPS 1-1 SJK
Sunday, October 1 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 3-0 Honka
Wednesday, September 27 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 45.56%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Honka had a probability of 27.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Honka win it was 0-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.

Result
KuPSDrawHonka
45.56% (-0.347 -0.35) 27.4% (0.171 0.17) 27.04% (0.176 0.18)
Both teams to score 46.54% (-0.34500000000001 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.58% (-0.50700000000001 -0.51)58.42% (0.508 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.98% (-0.396 -0.4)79.02% (0.398 0.4)
KuPS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (-0.399 -0.4)25.6% (0.4 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (-0.546 -0.55)60.48% (0.548 0.55)
Honka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.55% (-0.128 -0.13)37.45% (0.131 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.77% (-0.128 -0.13)74.23% (0.129 0.13)
Score Analysis
    KuPS 45.56%
    Honka 27.04%
    Draw 27.4%
KuPSDrawHonka
1-0 @ 13.06% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 8.9% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.063999999999998 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 45.56%
1-1 @ 12.83% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.59% (0.183 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.4%
0-1 @ 9.41% (0.146 0.15)
1-2 @ 6.3% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.62% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.06% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 27.04%

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Form Guide
Last Game: KuPS 1-1 SJK
Sunday, October 1 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Inter Turku 0-1 KuPS
Saturday, September 23 at 12pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: KuPS 0-2 VPS
Sunday, September 17 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 2-2 KuPS
Sunday, September 3 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Haka 2-2 KuPS
Sunday, August 27 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: KuPS 3-0 SJK
Sunday, August 20 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 3-0 Honka
Wednesday, September 27 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Honka 0-3 VPS
Friday, September 22 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: SJK 1-2 Honka
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: KTP 1-2 Honka
Sunday, September 3 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Honka 2-0 Ilves
Sunday, August 27 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Mariehamn 0-1 Honka
Friday, August 18 at 4.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga


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